All fund risk and return metrics, ratings, flows, and analytics were uploaded to MFO Premium on Saturday, 3 January, reflecting performance through December 2025 and providing an opportunity to examine year-end market performance.
In 1999, my father Carlo, a beautiful and kind man, asked me to be trustee of his estate. Most of his life savings were in equities, managed by a boutique stockbroker. I asked him about his expectations. He responded quickly: “If my broker does not deliver 20% each year, I fire him.”
And, in fact, in 1995, the S&P returned 37%, followed by 23% in 1996, 33% in 1997, 28% in 1998, and 21% in 1999. These returns set his expectations.
Here is a summary of annual performance of key ETFs for the past four years, which reflects the duration of The Great Normalization market cycle that began January 2022.
Despite the April turbulence brought on by Liberation Day tariff policy, year-end market performance reflected healthy gains in both equities and bonds, US and International. Both SPY and QQQ shared double-digit gains, repeating performance of 2024 and 2023.
US investment grade bonds delivered a very satisfactory 7.2%, getting above water for first time since 2022, the bear portion of this market cycle.
Here is a look back at the State Street Sector ETFs in each year of the current market cycle:
Since August I’ve been modernizing much of the online code that powers the Premium site. Still not live yet, so negligible upgrades to highlight. But nonetheless, would still like to host a year-end review. Come what may. Tuesday, 6 January 2025, 9 am Pacific. (Noon Eastern.) Hope you can join in by registering here.
As always, if you see anything amiss or have suggestions for improvement, reach out and I will respond soonest.
Happy New Year!









